CBA季中杯淘汰赛对阵出炉:广东大战上海 广厦山西晋级稳了?(CBA季中杯淘汰赛揭晓:广东对阵上海,广厦与山西晋级有多稳?)
发布时间:2026-01-26

Analyzing user request about CBA

The user has asked in Chinese about the CBA Mid-Season Cup matchups and seems to want news, details, and analysis. While I could provide that information, I need to consider my browsing capabilities carefully. The latest info I have is from 2024, and since it's now December 2025, I should clarify that I might not have the most recent updates. I could also provide a general analysis or ask for more context to better assist.Understanding CBA In-Season Tournament query

The user’s question likely pertains to the CBA In-Season Tournament, possibly for the 2024-25 season. Without current browsing capability, I should ask for the official bracket to provide accurate commentary. I could offer general factors, like discussing core players and team strengths. Notably, Guangdong's roster has seen changes, with key players like Yi Jianlian retired and Zhao Rui now with Shanghai, which adds an interesting matchup. I need to clarify what specific details the user is looking for.Analyzing Shanghai Sharks and other teams

广东

I’m considering the Shanghai Sharks, where coach Li Chunjiang previously led the team, but he faced a suspension. I think Liu Peng might be his replacement. Their roster includes players like Wang Zhelin and previously Zhao Rui. Then there's Guangsha with core players like Sun Minghui and Hu Jinqiu. As for the Shanxi Loongs, they have potential stars under coach Yang Xuezeng.

The user’s question implies they want a matchup analysis, but without complete information or the latest injuries, I need to ask for more details or a full bracket to provide an accurate analysis.Structuring analysis for Guangdong vs Shanghai

I should provide a clear template and high-level analysis of the matchup between Guangdong and Shanghai, suggesting a close 55-45 coin flip. If Zhao Rui is healthy, Shanghai might have the backcourt edge. I’d consider Marshon Brooks and other players' performance, weighing Wang Zhelin’s interior presence against Guangdong’s Ren Junfei. Given Guangdong's strong defense, but Shanghai’s playoff inconsistencies, I should mention potential scenarios for Guangsha, maybe facing teams like Jilin or Qingdao. I’ll keep my answer concise and structured in Chinese, focusing on key sections.Creating preview for matchups

Let’s break down the matchups clearly. For the Guangdong vs. Shanghai game, I want to highlight the narrative of Zhao Rui facing his old team, and compare Wang Zhelin to Guangdong’s lack of traditional centers. Guangdong has strong defense and depth, while Shanghai relies on half-court efficiency.

For Guangsha versus an unknown opponent, if they face a team with a weak offense, they’re favored, but could struggle against teams with strong inside presence. Similarly, Shanxi has three-point production but faces risks defensively.

I’ll ask the user for center matchups, official brackets, and game structure to provide the best insights moving forward.

下面给你一版不带比分的对阵解读和胜负路径,先帮助判断“稳不稳”。我没有你这次季中杯的完整赛程表和近期伤病信息,所以结论按常态打法与人员构成给到场景化判断;你要是把官方对阵/赛制贴过来,我再细化到对手与胜率区间。

广东 vs 上海

  • 关键对位:王哲林的低位与二次进攻 vs 广东缺传统强5号位;赵睿/外援后场组织 vs 徐杰/胡明轩的外线压迫。
  • 广东赢球路径:提速+逼失误(转换分+快下),侧翼轮转消耗王哲林上场时间,限制上海无球三分的接应点。
  • 上海赢球路径:放慢节奏打半场,低位+高位手递手围绕王哲林制造犯规与罚球,守住后场篮板不让广东连续反击。
  • 变数:吹罚尺度(紧→利上海,松→利广东)、马尚/王哲林体能与犯规、上海末节稳定性。
  • 初步判断:五五开略偏广东,如果广东的外线防守把失误逼高;若比赛被拖入阵地+罚球大战,上海更占优。

广厦“稳不稳”的前置判断

  • 常态优势:孙铭徽+胡金秋挡拆体系成熟,半场执行力强;侧翼防守纪律性好。
  • 主要隐患:护框身高与防守篮板,三分波动;遇到强冲击型4/5号位容易被针对。
  • 稳的对手画像:外线依赖投射、内线高度一般、转换节奏快但对抗一般的队伍(广厦能用纪律性把命中率压下去)。
  • 不稳的对手画像:强内线/强锋线冲击+大量造罚球的队伍,或能换防掐孙铭徽挡拆起手点的队伍。
  • 粗略结论:八强层面通常是6:4偏广厦,但要看对位和胡金秋/外援健康。

山西“稳不稳”的前置判断

  • 常态优势:三分产量高、节奏快、张宁持球冲击强,外线手感好时上限高。
  • 主要隐患:护框与防守篮板、整体对抗,犯规控制;慢节奏阵地战会吃亏。
  • 稳的对手画像:外线防守一般、转换保护差、愿意对攻的队伍(山西能用节奏把对手“带崩”)。
  • 不稳的对手画像:慢节奏强对抗、双塔护筐、强控制失误的队伍(山西进攻效率易被压低)。
  • 粗略结论:对上开放式对攻对手更稳;遇到北京系/吉林型的慢磨阵地会更难。

通用赛制与人员变量(对结果影响很大)

  • 外援规则:若仍是“4节4人次、末节单外援”,末节谁的本土核心更能持球解决问题很关键。
  • 伤病与状态:孙铭徽/胡金秋、王哲林、赵睿、马尚等的出勤和负荷管理。
  • 赛程与场地:是否单场定生死或两回合总分;中立场/主客场、背靠背与体能窗口。

给我这些信息,我马上给到更具体的对阵级预估:

Guang

  • 官方淘汰赛完整对阵表与赛制(单场还是两回合,总分还是胜场)。
  • 近期两周各队大名单与已知伤停。
  • 赛地与时间安排。

如果你愿意,我也可以基于最近10场的进攻/防守效率、回合数、篮板率和罚球率做个简单胜率模型;发我基础数据或让我根据你提供的来源录入即可。